NBA BASKETBALL |
April 29, 2002 |
A Risk Worth Taking
By JERRY MITTLEMAN
Last
June’s blockbuster deal that sent Elton Brand from Chicago
to the L.A. Clippers was one of several moves in recent
years that’s caused Bulls’ GM Jerry Krause much derision.
Upon closer examination, this controversial trade that
allowed the Bulls to draft high school stars, Tyson
Chandler and Eddie Curry, was probably a risk worth
taking.
In essence, the trade was an
admission on Krause’s part that building the Bulls around
Brand was a flawed decision. There’s a much better chance
that this time Krause has got it right.
Potentially, players like Chandler
and especially a center like Curry, are better suited
to building an NBA franchise around than a player like
Brand. NBA teams are built primarily around point guards
and dominating centers. That’s why so many NBA scouts
are salivating over the thought of this year’s draft,
where both Jason Williams and Yao Ming will probably
be available. In lieu of centers and point guards, teams
have been built around mobile wingmen like Michael Jordan
and Tracy McGrady, who create movement and add opportunities
for teammates. Unstoppable shooting guards like Allen
Iverson or Kobe Bryant, capable of carrying a team by
themselves, are also occasionally the cornerstone of
franchises.
Power forwards of the classic,
stick back, non-mobile mode like Brand are, by nature,
complimentary players. Their main job is cleaning up
their teammates misses, rather then by creating.
In the late 1980’s and early
1990’s, Martin Manley wrote a series of analytic books
about the NBA game. One of the issues he addressed was
the relative importance of each position. Using a rough
method of correlating players’ individual contributions,
with their team success, he found, not surprisingly,
that point guards are the most important and power forwards
by far the least important.
Few power forwards of the classic
mode are capable of carrying a team, excluding agile
young stars like Tim Duncan, Kevin Garnett and Rasheed
Wallace. All are formerly listed as power forwards,
but Garnett and Wallace actually have small forward
skills and Duncan would be playing center if he were
not playing alongside David Robinson.
Even Karl Malone, the prototype
power forward, considered the greatest ever to play
the position, probably would not have become the force
he did, if he had not been on the receiving end of John
Stockton’s passes.
Possibly the only power forward
who could truly dominate a game while not scoring was
Denis Rodman. Rodman was such a prolific offensive rebounder
that he often took charge of a game.
Due to the huge success of Garnett,
Bryant and McGrady, drafting highly skilled high schoolers
like Curry and Chandler is no longer viewed as the tremendous
risk it once was. Curry is a true center with soft hands
and the ability to play with his back to the basket.
Chandler is an agile 6’11’’ player in the Garnett, Wallace
mold. Both have more potential than Brand. If Krause
cashes in with both, he has really hit the jackpot.
This is no knock on Brand. He is an excellent young
player; steady, leading the league in offensive rebounds
and a valuable addition to the Clippers.
Krause has taken a lot of criticism
over the years, as much for his difficult personality
as for his decision making. If Krause can luck into
drafting a playmaker of Jason Williams' caliber to go
with Curry and Chandler, he’ll really have a winning
ticket for the future.
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