NBA BASKETBALL |
Oct. 21, 2002 |
Palumbo's Power Rankings
By Jason Palumbo
As the preseason progresses, and we get a good look at what the rosters
will be at the start of the season, who is going to be injured, and who
is going to be upset about his contract, things look very different than
they did just two months ago. That being the case, it seemed reasonable
to rethink the power rankings that most sports sites posted many weeks
ago, many of which were based on rosters that have since changed
dramatically. There are a lot of teams out there so let's get to it.
1. Lakers
The bad news is: Lindsey Hunter got away. The good news is: Shaq and
Kobe didn't. They might be one injured toe away from fourth place in the
West, but come playoff time, this is still the horse to bet on. They
have the system. They have the experience. They have the hardware.
They have Phil Jackson, whom one sports writer fittingly dubbed, "The
Lord of the Rings". When is last time this guy lost? (For those of you
not keeping track, it was in 1995). The Lakers have it all, and early
reports say that they are hungry for more.
2. Kings
The best regular season team in the league got better. Keon Clark makes
the NBA's deepest front court even deeper. With Bibby's injury and
Webber's legal troubles, this team has a good reason to pull together and
jump out to early success. Adelman is a brilliant coach, and this team
is stacked with talent everywhere. Expect them to enter the playoffs
with home court advantage in every series. This is the team with the
best shot at upsetting the champs.
3. Nets
The beast of the East got nastier this summer. Trading for Mutumbo and
picking up free agents, Childs and Rogers, not only hurts three of the
teams fighting to usurp the Nets, it also bolsters their defense and
bench tremendously. In preseason play, New Jersey decimated the Celtics,
the team they beat in the Eastern Conference Finals, and Mutumbo and
Rogers were big contributors. Barring a serious injury, the defending
Conference champs have to be the favorites to win the East. They
acquired the 7 foot tall, 2 time defensive player of the year, Dikembe
Mutumbo with an eye toward upsetting Shaq and the Lakers in a possible
rematch of last year's NBA Finals. Someone should have shown them
footage of the 2001 Finals where Shaq laid it down on Dikembe and the
76ers. They'll get rings, but not the ones they want.
4. Spurs
Believe it or not, the sliding Spurs may be the team of the future.
Duncan is only in his fifth year. Future hall of fame shoe in David
Robinson is on his way out and with him a lot of signing room. Emanual
Ginobili, a newly acquired Argentinean two guard, is young and the real
deal. With the free agent class of 2003 around the corner, things are
looking up for the Spurs - that's right, Kidd, Payton, Stackhouse, there
are all-star guards for Timmy to team with. However, this season is not
going to be the one. The loss of Terry Porter thins the back court and
removes one of the games toughest and most dependable players from their
roster. Kevin Willis will help to keep Robinson fresh up front, but that
won't get the boys in black over the top.
5. Mavericks
Nelly has got something going in Dallas. With their wide open, run and
gun offense, the Mavs are everyone's all-highlight team and a blast to
watch. All they are missing is a strong defensive commitment and some
strong defensive players. Innovative as always, Cuban and Nelson have
addressed the problem not by trading for defensive minded guys, but by
instituting fines for missed defensive assignments. It could work. Then
again, it could also wind up funding a new stadium.
6. Hornets
This team has it all. They are deep up front and talented in the back
court. Without Jamal Mashburn, they took the Nets to the limit. This
year they have picked up ex-Wizard Courtney Alexander to provide depth
and flexibility in the back court. Baron Davis continues to astound, and
the big guys up front can get points and boards in bunches. Early
injuries may slow this team down, but they have the size and talent to
challenge for the East this year.
7. Trail Blazers
Enough talent for two teams, and that's where the trouble starts. The
Blazers are deep at every position except center, maybe too deep. Three
talented point guards, two starter quality two guards, an aging hall of
fame small forward and a rising young star, and all of them with
super-sized egos. If this menagerie of talented individuals can gel into
some sort of a cohesive unit, they may have the goods to go all the way.
The return of retired center Arvydas Sabonis should be an immediate
injection of team chemistry and a cog in the machine designed to combat
Shaq and the champs. If Maurice Cheeks can assemble a team from the
pieces he has and keep Wallace and the boys from drawing expulsions every
three games, this squad could do some serious damage out west. But
that's a lot of ifs.
8. Pistons
When Detroit traded their leading scorer to the Wizards this off-season,
a lot of us snickered and wrote them off. Then they landed Chauncey
Billups from free-agency, and rookie power forward Mehmet Okur turned
some heads in the preseason. Now Detroit looks like a sure-fire to
finish top four in the East. They have depth at every position and
players who understand their roles. They had an amazingly productive
bench last season, and that has not been altered. Defensively they are
very sound, though the loss of Stackhouse may hurt them some in the
athletic, guard-oriented Eastern Conference. Without a true super-star,
they are limited, but this team has the chemistry and depth to go a long
way.
9. Celtics
It may seem odd to rank last year's Eastern Conference runner-up fourth
in the conference that they almost won, but in truth, it's a generous
position. Boston not only failed to improve this off-season, they lost
their sixth man to the very team that knocked them off last year. On top
of that they traded their starting point guard away and are running
through preseason using Walker, their power forward, as the primary
distributor. This did not work for Barkley in Philadelphia, and it won't
work here. Walker is too important as a scoring threat in the post to
play the entire game from the perimeter. The summer did net the Celtics
former all-star Vin Baker. Baker looks to add rebounding and a tried and
true post game to this group of three-point bomb launchers. Sound
defense and the dependable greatness of Paul Pierce will keep Boston in
the hunt for the Finals, but the C's will most likely come up short.
10. Pacers
Only real question is the point guard. This squad has the depth and
talent to steal the East. They took the Nets to double overtime of game
five in the first round of the playoffs last year, and by all accounts
they should be better this year. They have real playoff experience
garnered from last year's dog fight with New Jersey, and this year Ron
Artest, Ron Mercer, and Mike Miller will be in Indiana all year to gel
and learn the system. Point guard Jamaal Tinsley is the unknown. Sure
he was with the team last season, but he was a rookie, and he was
erratic. If head coach Isiah Thomas can school the youngster on the arts
of leading a team, then Reggie might get another crack at the ring that
has eluded him all these years.
11. Sonics
Happy or not, the Glove is still in Seattle. Lewis and Rodmanovic are
both positioned to have breakout seasons. This team is young, athletic,
and deeper than people realize. They don't have the guns or the
commitment to team defense to deal with the likes of the Mavericks or
Kings, but they still have Gary. Whether or not Payton gets his contract
extension he will play like a demon, like he always does, but Gary's
efforts will only carry the Sonics as far as they always do. They will
make it to the first round, but don't have the weapons to upset the top
four teams.
12. Magic
The 2003 Orlando Magic are strangely reminiscent of the Chicago Bulls in
1995, when Jordan came back for the tail end of the season and the
playoffs. Sure they can score. They can defend too. On any given
night, the combination of a healthy Hill and McGrady can confound
defenses and upset the high and mighty. Unfortunately, they have no big
men to speak of. Rebounding will be a constant issue as will health.
The T-Magic will drive opponents nuts with their high octane, athletic
offense and great perimeter D, but in the end, they will fall to bigger,
sturdier teams. Now if only Dennis Rodman were available.
13. Clippers
Have these guys got talent? How does all-star quality at each position
sound? And they have depth as well, or they would if they could ever get
healthy. This might be too generous of a spot for these guys with the
entirety of their starting front court on the injured list or hovering
dangerously near it. However, healthy, the other LA market could shock
some people. Summer pick-up Andre Miller is an offensive machine,
capable of forty-point outbursts and the league leader in assists the
past two seasons. Lamar Odom is largely believed to be the most talented
player on the team, and Elton Brand is one of the most consistent
forwards in the game and a reliable 20 point 10 rebound performer. If
they can get healthy, gel, and get the Kandi man to play close to his
potential, they'll be dangerous. That's way to many ifs in a season that
is a contract year for many of these guys. Head coach Alvin Gentry is
going to have his hands full.
14. Wizards
Last year Michael Jordan dragged the inexperienced Wizards kicking and
screaming to the .500 mark before his overused, 39 year old knees gave
out. After that the team went into a tail spin and never recovered.
However, GM Wes Unseld had a successful off season, signing two talented
rookies, veteran swingmen Bryan Russell and Larry Hughes, and trading for
all-star guard Jerry Stackhouse. This preseason, the Wizards' young
players are performing well, especially second year forward Kwame Brown
who is averaging a double - double through three games after a lackluster
rookie season. The late addition of Charles Oakley adds experience,
toughness, and smarts to a deep, young front line. The real wild card on
this team is Jordan. This line-up should take one of the lower four
playoff spots, but once they're in the show, the MJ x-factor could carry
them a long way. If there's one thing the last two decades have taught
us, it's don't bet against Jordan on the basketball court.
15. Timberwolves
If Kevin Garnett were the host body for a gestalt Larry Bird and Kareem
Abdul-Jabbar, the Wolves would have a shot in the West. He's not. KG is
perhaps the most productive player in basketball today. He gets double
figure rebounds while playing perimeter defense, deals out high assists
while carrying the offense, and leads with passion. Unfortunately his
followers are not up to the challenge. Wally Szczerbiak, an all-star
swingman, is the team's only other consistent scorer, and he adds little
else. When he's healthy, point guard Terrell Brandon lifts this team to
another level, and his leadership and talent make them look like
contenders. But Brandon isn't healthy very often, and he hasn't played a
full season since he was a backup to Mark Price in Cleveland. Having
Brandon gives the team another scoring threat and allows Garnett to work
away from the basket for easy scores and offensive boards instead of
playing the role of distributor for Wally and the gang. This team could
go to the second round with a healthy Brandon, but otherwise they will
struggle to make the playoffs, and as much as the sports-media community
will seek to lay the blame on the Man-Child, there's only so much that
one man can do, and Garnett is already doing it.
16. Rockets
Will Yao Ming amount to a new ring in Houston? He might in a few years,
if the Rockets can re-sign him that is. Right now the untested big man
offers Rudy Tomjanovich the best front court he has had since Barkley and
Olajuwon lost the long fight with injuries and age. His back court is no
laughing matter either with phenom point guard Stevie Fancis and
hyper-energized Cuttino Mobley. The Rockers seem to have all the pieces
to make a deep playoff run, but this is unlikely. First of all, touted
center Yoa Ming is an NBA rookie, and his production is likely to
demonstrate that. The rest of the Rockets front court, while talented,
is somewhat undersized in the beefy power forward country out west.
Finally this team still lacks identity and defensive integrity. They
need to institute a true system on offense rather than living solely off
the brilliant but unpredictable moves of Stevie Franchise and Cat Mobley.
In two or three years these guys might be contenders, if they can keep
the group together. This year they will contend for the last two playoff
spots in the West.
17. Hawks
Glen Robinson joins a strong scoring tandem, and a healthy Theo Ratliff
returns to man the paint. Could be that the Hawks are the surprise team
in the East this year. They certainly have the talent to put up huge
numbers offensively and the athleticism to compete on the boards.
Unfortunately they sent their most unselfish guy to Milwaukee in the
trade for Robinson. Now they are left with a bunch of gunners and no
passer. Still their depth up front and ability to create shots one on
one should lift them to the lower rungs of the playoffs. Unless Iverson
or Ray Allen goes wild, which is a distinct possibility.
18. Bucks
They lost Big Dog and did nothing to address their miserable rebounding
and defense. What they do have is an unsurpassed back-court duo in
Cassell and Allen, and the ability to put up monster points in minutes.
Tim Thomas should perform well from the starting three spot, and Toni
Kukoc and Michael Redd will ensure that their offensive output will not
drop off when the second unit comes on the floor. Unfortunately these
guys don't have quite as much punch as their West counterpart, the
Mavericks. They will struggle badly to rebound and on post defense, but
their fast striking offense should keep them in most games. An injury to
anyone in their top seven could have drastically bad results. They will
fight with Atlanta, Toronto, and Philadelphia for the last playoff
berths.
19. 76ers
As long as Iverson is alive and walking, the 76ers will be dangerous.
With the Answer, Snow, and Mckie, Philadelphia has one of the most
reliable, talented backcourts in the game. And that's all they have.
Recently acquired Van Horn will help with perimeter scoring, and Derek
Coleman can put up points around the hoop, but both are defensive
liabilities. The loss of Mount Mutumbo will show on team defense and
rebounding, especially offensive rebounding, where Coleman and Van Horn
have little to offer. Iverson's fire and Larry Brown's basketball acumen
may pull the 76ers into the playoffs, but they are probably not the
contenders they once were.
20. Raptors
Vince returns with a vengeance. Unfortunately he is returning to a
banged up, undersized team who lost three key reserves and their starting
center in the off season. Without Hakeem and Clark, Antonio Davis will
be forced to play most of is minutes as the team's center, and they will
struggle to plug holes at power forward and point guard. With severely
depleted depth, this team will need to rely on mistakes by other teams
and inspired play from overachieving guards Morris Peterson and Alvin
Williams to have a chance of reaching the playoffs. Or Carter will have
to be Half-Man, Half-Amazing. Hey, it could happen.
21. Jazz
Utah's rank may look unrealistically low, and I admit they will probably
find a way to beat out the younger more talented teams for a playoff
position, but this is how things stand. Stockton and Malone have not
dwelt in such a vacuum of talent in all their years of rewriting the
record books. They have no starter-caliber two guard, two decent but not
exceptional small forwards, and one young but encouraging center. John
and Karl will still fill it up every night, especially now that Marshall
is off to Chicago freeing Malone up for more shots. Mark Jackson will
back up Stockton beautifully and probably see some minutes as the team's
shooting guard as well. There just isn't enough talent here to really
make a dent in the tough western conference.
22. Suns
This team has not had a healthy season since Barkley was league MVP in
1993. Team success rests squarely on the shoulders of Stephan Marbury,
the all-star point guard who came west in the trade that sent Jason Kidd
to the New Jersey Nets and the NBA Finals. Starbury can fill up a
stat-sheet like nobody's business, but he is not a proven winner, and he
has a serious ankle injury. He will play in pain, but he will probably
not be enough to get this team into the playoffs. They also suffer a
lack of size in a big division. Their best rebounder and shot-blocker is
Shawn Marion, a small forward. A good team to pick fantasy players from,
but not likely to go anywhere this season.
23. Warriors
If you need forwards, write the Golden State Warriors. Jamison, Fortson,
Dunleavy, Murphy, these guys have a glut of forwards. Unfortunately they
don't have centers, and they're guards are young and undeveloped. This
is an inexperienced squad and not much is expected of them. Slam dunk
champ Jason Richardson should fill some seats, and the team will likely
improve on last season's abysmal record, but until they land a genuine
center and some veteran guards, this team is unlikely to make real
progress. Where are Run TMC when you need 'em?
24. Heat
Pat Riley finds himself mired in mediocrity for the second season in a
row, and he doesn't seem to mind. With the loss of Alonzo Mourning to
the progression of his kidney disease, the Heat lost their leader, their
best player, and the glue that bound their offense and defense. Power
forward Brian Grant will attempt to fill the large shoes left by Zo, and
rookie Caron Butler will happily step into Grant's regular spot.
Swingman Eddie Jones will be left to pick up the slack offensively. It
will be a long year for the Heat. Riley sees his team contesting for a
playoff berth, but it would have been a challenge with Mourning. Without
him there is little chance.
25. Grizzlies
They're not last. As a matter of fact they might go higher than this.
If Jason Williams will play within the system, and Dickerson can stay
healthy, they have legitimate NBA starters at every position. Young guys
need to learn quickly for this team to make real progress. Of course
with Jerry West scowling from the stands, the young guys will be
motivated to work hard, and the coach will be sweating for wins.
26. Knicks
The bad news is: the Knicks traded Camby, their best front court asset,
for Antonio McDyess, who is now out for the season with a broken kneecap.
The good news is: Camby already had an injury and wouldn't have been
able to play, so they didn't really lose anything. They gave up their
starting point guard, and their emotional leader, Sprewell, is on the
outs with the club for reporting to training camp with a broken hand.
This team has problems everywhere. If they can get a good draft pick and
McDyess recovers successfully, they could see enormous improvements next
year.
27. Bulls
The progression of Chandler and Curry from high school kids into NBA
players is coming along nicely. Both youngsters bring a lot to the table
and promise to excel in the future. In the present, the team hinges on
the abilities of swingman Jalen Rose. Rose is a multi-talented veteran
but not a one-man offense. Rookie Jay Williams and young guard Jamal
Crawford have as much potential as the second year big guys. Chicago
will be good one day, but not this day. Eddie Robinson and Donyell
Marshall will also add to this team, though they will fight Rose and each
other for minutes.
28. Cavaliers
The Darius Miles show is up and running. Rookies Wagner and Boozer
should have good showings, and veteran swingman Ricky Davis can put up
points, but this season is all about Darius Miles coming into his own.
John Lucas loves Miles' work ethic and skills and plans to play him all
over the court. If nothing else, the Cavs should be fun to watch, and
the young nucleus of talent they have could lead them back to the
playoffs in a few years.
29. Nuggets
The big story in Denver is Brazilian rookie Nene Hilario. He is a real
prospect center in a league with a center shortage. Denver doesn't have
much else to offer its fans right now. James Posey shows flashes of
brilliance and certainly has potential, but it looks like Juwan Howard
will earn his money this year carrying this team offensively. On the
bright side, things can't get much worse. When you're on the bottom, the
only place to go is up.
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