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NBA BASKETBALL
State of the Lottery

By TAYLOR AGEE                     May 21, 2001
crazy7345@hotmail.com 

As I’m munching down on Doritos, I see 13 glum, yet antsy, faces sitting before my eyes. As Ahmad Rashad announces the picks, I can’t help but notice that not a single one of the representatives smiled as their team was announced. That is, all but Alvin Gentry, head coach of the Los Angeles Clippers, Dominique Wilkins, a former Atlanta Hawks legend, and Rod Higgins, Assistant General Manager of the Washington Wizards. Ironically, those three were grinning like chestercats. Jerry Krause wanted a cookie.

Why is it that there was such diversity of emotion towards the pick selection each of these lottery teams received? In years before, there was a clear cut favorite, but aside from Tim Duncan, there was no true superstar to be had. Michael Olowokandi, selected in 1998 by the Clippers, is producing like a backup. Elton Brand, the 1999 Co-Rookie of the Year of the Chicago Bulls, is certainly a star in the making, but he’s no Duncan. Last year’s top selection, Kenyon Martin of the Nets, turned in a sub-par season shelled with another leg injury. This year? Well, that’s the thing. There is no clear cut favorite.

With the Wizards winning the lottery and ultimately selecting first, there has to be a certain belief that the choice they make will be carved around Michael Jordan’s return. This year’s lottery teams can go one of two ways: they can take one of the many raw talents waiting to be developed, or they can take a proven player who went to college and proved he could play at a higher level than varsity. Eddie Griffin, a suitable and perfectly obtainable choice for the Wizards, will almost certainly be considered, as he is widely regarded as a physical specimen with Tracy McGrady-esque athletic ability and the explosiveness of Vince Carter. However, trading down in the draft will also be in consideration for the Wizards, as they are gearing for their future, and may be better off taking lower-level players such as Brendan Haywood and Jamaal Tinsley, who made a name for themselves at their respective colleges.

But what about the rest of the pack? Well, the Clippers will most definitely take either Kwame Brown or Eddy Curry, assuming Griffin is taken as the first overall. Brown has drawn comparisons to Kevin Garnett and Hakeem Olajuwon alike, and although he is a remarkable talent, he was one of the many that needed at least a year in college. Nevertheless, his talent is far too great to pass up, especially considering that unproven talents like himself and Curry were also preceded and given a positive reputation by Garnett, McGrady, and Kobe Bryant. Curry is a physical monster, and the similarities to Shaquille O’Neal are endless, but he’s going to need to take his beatings until he becomes a force at this level. The Hawks, selecting third, will likely choose one of these three prospects, adding even more depth to their suddenly-talented team. 

Tim Duncan. Grant Hill. Tracy McGrady. Eddie Jones. Tim Thomas. Glen Rice. What do all these names have in common? Krause knows, and he doesn’t want to hear it any more - they all spurned him for greener pastures. But, even so, he and his Bulls got the shaft again, as they were supposed to pick first, but ended up with the fourth selection, what they had last year. The Bulls will likely select Sagana Diop, a green, highly-touted big man with a body already considered NBA material, or one of the big three, if any of them drop for some reason. The Golden State Warriors, selecting fifth, have their eyes on Tyson Chandler. Chandler, yet another high schooler making the jump, has a rare gift: he’s a big man who can shoot from the outside. Players like him only come along every 20 years or so, but then again, he weighs only a meager 220 pounds, and has plenty of conditioning and muscle toning before he is even remotely ready to bang with the big boys of the NBA - especially in the Western Conference.

The Vancouver Grizzlies, selecting at number six this year, could possibly trade the pick, hoping to accumulate extra choices in the middle of the draft. If they keep the pick, look for Jason Richardson, an awe-inspiring shooting guard from Michigan State, to get some consideration if he is still available, as well as any of the aforementioned top five, if any of them are to drop. The New Jersey Nets, selecting in the seven spot, will probably select a swingman or yet another big man, since a fire sale is fast-approaching for this Nursing Home. Richardson, Joe Johnson, a small forward from Arkansas, and Rodney White, a tweener small/power forward from Charlotte, will likely warrant the most attention with their pick.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are in an interesting situation. Zydrunas Ilgauskas will give it another shot, but they would be fools to believe he makes it through the year injury-free. Trajan Langdon’s future is diminishing, and fast, but are the Cavs ready to close the book on him? With Clarence Weatherspoon no guarantee to return, and Chris Gatling surely a goner, they should probably select a big body, but then again, do they want to trust Langdon and Wesley Person again at off-guard? What a predicament. I’d take a big man; Zach Randolph, an uncut, Charles Barkley-like power forward out of Michigan State, could very well be their selection.

The Detroit Pistons are hoping that their main man, Shane Battier from Duke, is still around when they select, and he likely will be. Battier represents all that is wrong and twisted in the NBA; not in the way that you would think. Over the past five years, the NBA has confided in young guys, albeit supremely talented but nowhere near ready for the league, to take the jump early. Guys like Battier, who stayed at college all four years and came out as gloriously as possible, have become understatements. Now, instead of having the mindset that players like him are devoted and rich-in-the-mind, scouts perceive them as weak and slow to develop. Battier is a bonafide leader, and they don’t come as ready for the NBA as he is. This is my top pick, personally. I can’t think of a better attitude and a harder worker I’d want on my team. 

The Boston Celtics will pick back to back, with their own selection and ten and the Denver Nuggets’ at 11. Expect them to select Jamaal Tinsley, an electric, keen point guard out of Iowa, as well as a frontcourt player. Chandler will mark the first wave of big men, and any out of Michael Bradley, an underrated power forward from Villanova, Loren Woods, a 7 foot pencil from Arizona, Brendan Haywood, a living “Shrek” from North Carolina, Troy Murphy, a self-proclaimed geek from Notre Dame, and Randolph will mark the second. 

Nate McMillian and his Sonics will take what they an get at number 12. Expect them to take one of the frontcourt five-headed monster, likely Bradley. To close out the lottery, the Houston Rockets do not need help in their backcourt, but need to provide some insurance up front. Olajuwon is just as likely to leave as he is to stay, signing Kelvin Cato to that long-term contract looks like a “deal” gone horribly south, Jason Collier is still dwindling over his injuries, and Maurice Taylor could walk if he chooses. Like Seattle, expect them to select any remaining big man left on their draft board. Put your money on Woods.

When Yao Ming was told he couldn’t leave China, when Jason Williams decided to stick around for another year at Duke, when DaJuan Wagner honored his commitment to John Calipari at Memphis, any clear cut favorite was cut out of this year’s lottery. Sure, you can make a case that there is as much, if not more, talent to spread around in the past decade. But isn’t the draft about selecting a player who you think will excel above the rest? Duncan, Olowokandi, Brand, Martin, those guys were apointed that nomination in year’s past. But this year?

Take your pick and run with it.

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