Phoenix Suns Fan Editorial
By Manphibian | Sept. 21, 2005
After losing in the Western Conference Finals to the eventual champion
Spurs, the Phoenix Suns came into the offseason with a clear goal of improving their
defense, depth, and rebounding while maintaining their identity as an
uptempo, high scoring team.
Keeping Steve Nash, Amare Stoudemire, and Shawn
Marion means they likely accomplished the second part of the goal.
The
addition of guys like Kurt Thomas, Raja Bell, James Jones, and a few other
solid veteran role players, along with some young potential in Boris Diaw,
Lucas Tischer, and Dijon Thompson means they went a long way towards
accomplishing the first.
Further improvement from young franchise player
Amare Stoudemire should help this team get better at both ends of the floor
as well.
Individual Breakdowns
Starters:
Steve Nash: Predicted Stats; 34 mpg/14 ppg/3 rpg/11 apg/ fg/3pt/ft% around
.500/.400/.900. Similar year to last year. Still has Amare and Marion as his man targets on
the break, and has a new pair of athletic 3-point shooters to run on the
wings. Will still run plenty of P+R in the halfcourt.
Raja Bell: Predicted Stats; 32 mpg/15 ppg/3.5 rpg/1.5 apg/1 stl/.400+ 3pt%. Athletic defender who runs the floor well and is a good shooter from 3. Will
play a Q type roll in the offense, shooting better percentages, and unlike Q
also contributes at the other end.
Shawn Marion: Predicted Stats; 38 mpg/20 ppg/10 rpg/2 apg/4 combined blk/stl.
Marion moves back to the starting SF job, but he will still likely play
around half his minutes as the primary backup big man, with Amare or KT at
C. Will do the same thing he always has, contributing in every facet of the
game, as well as creating and finishing all sorts of fastbreaks. A key for
the running game.
Kurt Thomas: Predicted Stats; 34 mpg/10 ppg/9 rpg/1.5 apg/about 1spg, 1bpg.
KT will guard the best opposing big man at all times, freeing Amare to roam
and block shots, as well as jump out on the break. He will be our primary
rebounder and inbounder, and in the half court offense will be asked mostly
to hit the 15 foot jumper whenever the defense gives it to him, as well as
set a lot of picks for other players.
Amare Stoudemire: Predicted Stats; 38 mpg/30 ppg/10 rpg/2 apg/2 bpg/1 spg/.500+ fg%.
Amare will pick up where he left off in last years playoffs. He will still
get plenty of easy opportunities on the break and in P+R with Nash, but he
will now also be the main go-to guy after plays break down (or when we just
want to give Nash a break), a role Joe Johnson had previously occupied.
Along with the improvement he has shown every year, and increased minutes,
he should be averaging numbers worthy of the MVP award.
6th Man -- James Jones: Predicted Stats; 30 mpg/12 ppg/5 rpg/1.5 apg/1 stl/.400+ 3pt%.
Jones should be the 6th man for this team, providing size and athleticism on
the wing off the bench. He rebounds and defends well, and also has a sweet
3-point stroke that he will get plenty of chances to show off.
The Rest:
This is where things become less certain, on the Suns bench. Barbosa is going
to be given a chance this year to prove he is the Suns backup PG (and
possible Nash replacement), and if he plays well he could end up playing
24-28 minutes and putting up good, Bobby Jackson type numbers. If he
struggles, chances are Boris Diaw will be given a chance as a point-forward
type, but given his lack of shooting I think Eddie House would end up
forming a unit of sorts with him, each playing just when Nash is out to give
us a good balanced backcourt at both ends.
Guys like Jimmy Jackson and Brian Grant will likely play only spot minutes, but both are veterans that can be
counted on to step into a large role if a starter becomes injured.
If
neither Barbosa or Diaw proves to be dependable as a backup PG, JimmyJax
would likely get that role, with the ball going through Amare's hands in the
halfcourt.
Overall Outlook
The Suns have a good collection of young talent and steady
veterans, and whoever is playing best is going to get the minutes. As a
whole the bench should be much improved from last year. After the top 6 guys
I have listed, there are 34 minutes left to be filled. Given the ability of
multiple guys to play multiple positions, those minutes are not position
specific.
Suns owner Robert Sarver was quoted as saying the coaching staff
expects to be able to score 3 more points per game this year, and with my
top 6 predicted to score 101, that would leave about 12 ppg coming from the
rest of these guys. I expect Barbosa to step up and earn most of those
minutes, as well as score most of those points.
As a team, the Suns are capable of improving at both ends of the floor this
year, and at the least should be a much more consistent team on defense and
on the boards. Until a 6 game slide when Nash got injured for the first time
last year, this team was on pace to challenge the Bulls record 72 wins. The
second time Nash went out the team responded well, going 2-1, including a
win in Dallas, so possible injuries to him aren't likely to kill the team as
much as they did in that first instance.
I predict a minimum of 56 wins (and a division title), with a good chance of winning around the 62 they managed
last year, and an outside shot of winning a few more if they are healthy all
year again.
Full Roster:
Steve Nash
Amare Stoudemire
Shawn Marion
Raja Bell
Kurt Thomas
James Jones
Leandro Barbosa
Eddie House
Boris Diaw
Jimmy Jackson
Brian Grant
Pat Burke
Dijon Thompson (likely in D-league)
Lucas Tischer (also D-league)
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