NBA Draft Lottery
NBA Draft Lottery | May 19, 2009
 Following are the results from the 2009 NBA Draft Lottery, which was conducted this evening at NBA TV’s studio in Secaucus, New Jersey. The Los Angeles Clippers, who had a 17.7 percent chance of obtaining the first selection, will have the first overall pick in the 2009 NBA Draft, which will be held in New York City at The WaMu Theater at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, June 25, 2009.
1. LA Clippers
2. Memphis
3. Oklahoma City
4. Sacramento
5. Washington
6. Minnesota
7. Golden State
8. New York
9. Toronto
10. Milwaukee
11. New Jersey
12. Charlotte
13. Indiana
14. Phoenix
NBA DRAFT LOTTERY PREVIEW/EXPLANATION
The 2009 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 19, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey.
The 24th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of 2009 NBA Draft.
Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery teams by a computer.
The Sacramento Kings finished the season with the NBA's worst record (17-65), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. The Phoenix Suns, the best team in the lottery at 46-36, will have five combinations out of 1,000.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Sacramento can pick no lower than fourth, Washington (19-63) no lower than fifth and the L.A. Clippers (19-63) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of Ernst & Young in attendance.
Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to the opening of the envelopes.
The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2009, to be held on Thursday, June 25, at The Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
Following are the chances out of 1,000 for teams in 2009 NBA Draft Lottery:
2009 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY ODDS
(Out of 1,000)
Following are the 14 teams in 2009 NBA Draft Lottery who did not qualify for the 2009 NBA Playoffs. Each team will be assigned a certain number of combinations out of 1,000. The third column below lists the number of combinations each team will have in the NBA Draft Lottery. The three columns on the right list the percent chances that teams have at getting one of the top three picks.
Team Record Chances 1st Pk 2nd Pk 3rd Pick
Sacramento 17-65 250 25.00% 21.46% 17.72%
Washington 19-63 178 17.80% 17.36% 16.45%
L.A. Clippers 19-63 177 17.70% 17.29% 16.41%
Oklahoma City 23-59 119 11.90% 12.57% 13.24%
Minnesota 24-58 76 7.60% 8.43% 9.46%
Memphis 24-58 75 7.50% 8.33% 9.36%
Golden State 29-53 43 4.30% 4.93% 5.76%
New York 32-50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.87%
Toronto 33-49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.40%
Milwaukee 34-48 10 1.00% 1.18% 1.43%
New Jersey 34-48 9 0.90% 1.06% 1.29%
Charlotte 35-47 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Indiana 36-46 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Phoenix 46-36 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
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LAST YEAR'S NBA DRAFT LOTTERY
May 20, 2008
The 2008 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 20, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey.
THE 2008 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY IS COMPLETE. HERE IS THE NBA DRAFT ORDER.
The 24th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of 2008 NBA Draft.
Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery teams by a computer.
The Miami Heat finished the season with the NBA's worst record (15-67), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. The Golden State Warriors, the best team in the lottery at 48-34, will have five combinations out of 1,000.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Miami can pick no lower than fourth, Seattle (20-62) no lower than fifth and Minnesota (22-60) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of Ernst & Young in attendance.
Following the drawing, team logo cards will be inserted into envelopes marked 1 through 14 by an Ernst & Young representative. These envelopes then will be sealed and brought on-stage, where the announcement of the Lottery results will be made by NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver. A second representative from each participating team will be seated on-stage. Neither the Deputy Commissioner nor the team representatives will be informed of the Lottery results prior to the opening of the envelopes.
The team whose logo is in the last envelope opened will pick first in NBA Draft 2008, to be held on Thursday, June 26, at The Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
Following are the chances out of 1,000 for teams in 2008 NBA Draft Lottery:
2008 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY CHANCES (Out of 1,000)
Following are the 14 teams in 2008 NBA Draft Lottery who did not qualify for the 2008 NBA Playoffs. Each team will be assigned a certain number of combinations out of 1,000. The third column below lists the number of combinations each team will have in the NBA Draft Lottery. The three columns on the right list the percent chances that teams have at getting one of the top three picks.
2008 NBA Draft Lottery Probabilities
Team Record Chances 1st Pick 2nd Pick 3rd Pick
Miami 15-67 250 25.00% 21.47% 17.72%
Seattle 20-62 199 19.90% 18.78% 17.07%
Minnesota 22-60 138 13.80% 14.24% 14.54%
Memphis 22-60 137 13.70% 14.16% 14.48%
New York 23-59 76 7.60% 8.44% 9.47%
L.A. Clippers 23-59 75 7.50% 8.33% 9.37%
Milwaukee 26-56 43 4.30% 4.93% 5.77%
Charlotte 32-50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.87%
Chicago 33-49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.40%
New Jersey 34-48 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.57%
Indiana 36-46 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Sacramento 38-44 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Portland 41-41 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Golden State 48-34 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%
2007 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY | May 22, 2007
Following are the results from the 2007 NBA Draft Lottery, which was conducted this evening at NBA TV’s studio in Secaucus, New Jersey. The Portland Trail Blazers, who had a 5.3 percent chance of obtaining the first selection, will have the first overall pick in the 2007 NBA Draft, which will be held in New York City at The WaMu Theater at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, June 28, 2007.
The NBA Draft Lottery determines the exact team selections order for lottery picks, which are the first 14 picks of the NBA Draft. Teams that don't make the playoffs are in the lottery, provided they haven't traded their first round pick that season. For more on the event read the evolution of the Draft Lottery process. Also see Complete 2007 NBA Draft order for both rounds.
NBA Lottery Odds of Winning First Pick
1. Memphis 25.0%
2. Boston 19.9%
3. Milwaukee 15.6%
4. Atlanta*1 11.9%
5. Seattle 8.8%
6. Portland 5.3%
7. Minnesota 5.3%
8. Charlotte 1.9%
9. New York*2 1.9%
10. Sacra. 1.8%
11. Indiana*3 0.8%
12. Philly 0.7%
13. New Orl. 0.6%
14. L.A. Clips 0.5%
*1) Pick may be conveyed to Phoenix
*2) Pick may be conveyed to Chicago
*3) Pick may be conveyed to Atlanta
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This year (2007), the hot Draft prospects are Greg Oden and Kevin Durant. Every team was hoping to win the #1 or #2 pick. And with the odds listed below in mind, the Grizzlies, Celtics and Bucks were the big losers tonight. The Trail Blazers beat the odds to win #1, and the Sonics did the same to get #2. The Hawks got slightly lower than expected, getting #3. The Grizzlies dropped to #4 despite having the best odds to get #1. And the Celtics dropped to #5 despite having the best shot at #2 and the second best chance at #1.
InsideHoops.com reviews the 2007 NBA Draft Lottery results:
Updated May 22, 2007 at 10:07 p.m. ET
1) Trail Blazers: They'll take Greg Oden or Kevin Durant. We assume Oden.
2) Sonics: They have to hope the Blazers take Durant, because they'd love Oden. If they take Durant, perhaps they'll sign-and-trade Rashard Lewis to another team.
3) Hawks: The Hawks need a point guard or a dominant big man.
4) Grizzlies: The Grizzlies need help at every position to compliment Pau Gasol and Rudy Gay.
5) Celtics: This is a disaster for Boston. Total disaster. Will Paul Pierce ask to be traded?
6) Bucks: Aside from scoring machine Michael Redd the Bucks don't have a clear superstar to build around. Andrew Bogut is their next best player but he's not dominant and probably never will be.
7) Timberwolves: Kevin Garnett needs help at literally every position.
8) Bobcats: The team is building around Raymond Felton, Adam Morrison, Gerald Wallace and Emeka Okafor.
9) Bulls (from Knicks): Chicago needs a legit big man with post game.
10) Kings: It's tough to say what Sacramento needs because they basically should trade everyone and rebuild. But the best players on the team currently are Mike Bibby, Kevin Martin and Ron Artest.
11) Hawks (from Pacers): As above, the Hawks need a point guard and a big man.
12) Sixers: Philly should just take the best player available. Ideally someone who fits next to Andre Iguodala and maybe Andre Miller. More than anything they need a power forward.
13) Hornets: They need the best player who can fit next to Chris Paul, Peja Stojakovic, David West and Tyson Chandler.
14) Clippers: The Clips need a point guard since Sam Cassell is old and Shaun Livingston is hurt. And a small forward or shooting guard to play next to Corey Maggette and in front of Cuttino Mobley would help.
PROBABILITY OF GETTING ONE OF THE TOP THREE PICKS
VIA THE NBA DRAFT LOTTERY
CURRENT NBA DRAFT LOTTERY SYSTEM
TEAM 1000 PICK 1 PICK 2 PICK 3
Team 1 250 25.00% 21.51% 17.77%
Team 2 199 19.90% 18.81% 17.12%
Team 3 156 15.60% 15.74% 15.59%
Team 4 119 11.90% 12.60% 13.30%
Team 5 88 8.80% 9.66% 10.68%
Team 6 63 6.30% 7.10% 8.12%
Team 7 43 4.30% 4.94% 5.79%
Team 8 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.89%
Team 9 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.41%
Team 10 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Team 11 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Team 12 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Team 13 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Team 14 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.73%
TOTAL 1000 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
NBA DRAFT LOTTERY SYSTEM (1995-2004)
TEAM* 1000 PICK 1 PICK 2 PICK 3
Team 1 250 25.00% 21.55% 17.85%
Team 2 200 20.00% 18.91% 17.22%
Team 3 157 15.70% 15.84% 15.70%
Team 4 120 12.00% 12.71% 13.43%
Team 5 89 8.90% 9.77% 10.82%
Team 6 64 6.40% 7.21% 8.26%
Team 7 44 4.40% 5.06% 5.93%
Team 8 29 2.90% 3.38% 4.03%
Team 9 18 1.80% 2.12% 2.56%
Team 10 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Team 11 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.02%
Team 12 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Team 13 5 0.60% 0.60% 0.73%
TOTAL 1000 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
*Note: Team 1 has worst record among Lottery teams; Team 13 has best record. The 2004 Draft Lottery will include Charlotte and
they are locked into the 4th position. The percentages will change in 2005 to include all 14 teams in the Lottery.
NBA DRAFT LOTTERY SYSTEM (1994)
ODDS/
TEAM* 1000 PICK 1 PICK 2 PICK 3 TOTAL
Team 1 250 25.00% 21.72% 18.12% 64.84%
Team 2 203 20.30% 19.23% 17.57% 57.10%
Team 3 162 16.20% 16.34% 16.20% 48.74%
Team 4 126 12.60% 13.33% 14.09% 40.02%
Team 5 94 9.40% 10.32% 11.46% 31.18%
Team 6 66 6.60% 7.47% 8.61% 22.68%
Team 7 44 4.40% 5.09% 6.02% 15.51%
Team 8 27 2.70% 3.17% 3.83% 9.70%
Team 9 15 1.50% 1.78% 2.18% 5.46%
Team 10 8 0.80% 0.96% 1.18% 2.94%
Team 11 5 0.50% 0.60% 0.74% 1.84%
TOTAL 1000 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
*Note: Team 1 has worst record among Lottery teams; Team 11 has best record.
NBA DRAFT LOTTERY SYSTEM (1990-93)
TEAM* BALLS PICK 1 PICK 2 PICK 3 TOTAL
Team 1 11 16.67% 15.56% 14.35% 46.58%
Team 2 10 15.15% 14.47% 13.68% 43.30%
Team 3 9 13.64% 13.31% 12.89% 39.84%
Team 4 8 12.12% 12.07% 11.97% 36.16%
Team 5 7 10.61% 10.77% 10.92% 32.30%
Team 6 6 9.09% 9.40% 9.73% 28.22%
Team 7 5 7.58% 7.97% 8.42% 23.97%
Team 8 4 6.06% 6.48% 6.98% 19.52%
Team 9 3 4.55% 4.94% 5.42% 14.91%
Team 10 2 3.03% 3.34% 3.73% 10.10%
Team 11 1 1.52% 1.69% 1.92% 5.13%
TOTAL 66 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
*Note: Team 1 has the worst record among Lottery teams; Team 11 has the best record.
2006 NBA Draft Lottery
May 22, 2006
OFFICIAL 2006 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY RESULTS:
14) Utah, 13) Philadelphia, 12) New Orleans, 11) Orlando, 10) Seattle, 9) Golden State, 8) Houston, 7) Boston, 6) Minnesota, 5) Atlanta, 4) Portland, 3) Charlotte, 2) Chicago (from NY), 1) Toronto
NBA DRAFT LOTTERY PREVIEW AND EXPLANATION:
The 2006 NBA Draft Lottery, where ping-pong balls supplant basketballs as the tools of determining supremacy, will be held on Tuesday, May 23, at the NBA Entertainment Studios in Secaucus, New Jersey.
The 22nd annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 14 picks of 2006 NBA Draft.
In the table to the right are the odds each team has of winning the #1 pick in the 2006 NBA Draft.
ODDS FOR 2006 #1 PICK
1. Portland 25.0%
2. New York* 19.9%
3. Charlotte 13.8%
4. Atlanta 13.7%
5. Toronto 8.8%
6. Minnesota 5.3%
7. Boston 5.3%
8. Houston 2.3%
9. Golden State 2.2%
10. Seattle 1.1%
11. Orlando 0.8%
12. New Orleans 0.7%
13. Philadelphia 0.6%
14. Utah 0.5%
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Fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 will be placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations will be assigned to the 14 participating Lottery teams (New York’s pick goes to Chicago via a previous trade) by a computer.
The Portland Trail Blazers finished the season with the NBA's worst record (21-61), so they will be assigned 250 combinations. Utah, the best team in the lottery at 41-41, will have five combinations out of 1,000.
Four balls will be drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
The order of selection for the teams that do not win one of the top three picks will be determined by inverse order of their regular season record. Thus, Portland can pick no lower than fourth, Chicago (via New York, 23-59) no lower than fifth and Charlotte (26-56) no lower than sixth.
The actual Lottery procedure will take place in a separate room prior to the national broadcast with NBA officials and representatives of the participating teams and the accounting firm of Ernst & Young in attendance.
EVOLUTION: NBA DRAFT LOTTERY HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENT
The NBA Board of Governors, meeting in Salt Lake City in June of 1984, voted to adopt a lottery system among the non-playoff teams to determine their order of selection in the first round of the NBA Draft beginning in 1985.
From 1966 through 1984, the teams that finished with the worst records in each conference participated in a coin flip to determine which team would draft first. The remaining teams picked in inverse order of their won-lost records. Under the system adopted prior to the 1985 NBA Draft, the NBA Lottery determines the order of selection for the non-playoff teams (or the teams holding their picks through trades) for the first round only. Teams pick in inverse order of their records in the second round (or, prior to the draft being reduced to two rounds in 1989, in all succeeding rounds).
Under a procedural change adopted by the Board of Governors in October of 1986, the Lottery determines the order of selection for the first three teams only. The remaining non-playoff teams select in inverse order of their regular season records. Therefore, the team with the worst record in the league is assured of picking no worse than fourth, the team with the second-worst record no worse than fifth and so on.
In a further refinement in October of 1989, the Board of Governors adopted a weighted system beginning with the 1990 NBA Draft Lottery, which included 11 teams due to expansion. The team with the worst record during the regular season received 11 chances at the top pick (out of a total of 66), the second-worst team got 10 chances and the team with the best record among the non-playoff clubs got one chance.
The Board of Governors approved a modification of the Lottery system in November of 1993 that, effective with the 1994 NBA Draft Lottery, increased the chances of the teams with the worst records in the league winning one of the top three picks in the draft while decreasing the lottery chances of the teams with the best records. The new system increased the chances of the team with the worst record drawing the first pick in the draft from 16.7 percent to 25 percent, while decreasing the chances of the team with the best record among lottery teams from 1.5 percent to 0.5 percent.
Under the system, 14 ping-pong balls numbered 1 through 14 are placed in a drum. There are 1,001 possible combinations when four balls are drawn out of 14, without regard to their order of selection. Prior to the Lottery, 1,000 combinations are assigned to the Lottery teams based on their order of finish during the regular season. Four balls are drawn to the top to determine a four-digit combination. The team that has been assigned that combination will receive the number one pick. The four balls are placed back in the drum and the process is repeated to determine the number two and three picks. (Note: If the one unassigned combination is drawn, the balls are drawn to the top again.)
In October of 1995, the Board of Governors increased the number of teams participating in the Lottery from 11 to 13 to account for the addition of expansion teams Toronto and Vancouver. Starting in 1996, the team with the worst record in the Lottery continued to have a 25% chance of winning the first pick, teams two through six have slightly fewer chances, team seven has the same number of chances and teams eight through 12 have slightly more chances. The number of chances for team 13 did not change.
The 2004 NBA Draft Lottery increased to 14 teams with the addition of the Charlotte Bobcats. The Bobcats, as part of their expansion agreement were locked into the fourth position in the 2004 Draft and therefore did not have a chance to receive other picks in the Lottery.
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