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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by dhsilv
I'm struggling to buy Manu being that high. It looks as though xRAMP is doing what it's supposed here. I would like to see a prior influenced xRAMP at this stage of the season though.
Well he uses a prior in xRAPM, which is comprised of a SPM (statistical plus minus...something like his own personal BPM as listed on basketball-reference). Though the numbers on ESPN only use on year of lineup data.
Last year I believe he posted multi-year RPM/xRAPM on Insider.
Originally Posted by juju151111
Pure Rapm is better for single season right. And where does he post the pure rapm
Check apbr.org/metrics/ around the all-star break, or his twitter (linked above).
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Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by FKAri
It might be sample size or it might honestly just be not trying as much. Are you going to go hard on D when you're up 20 or when it's a tie game?
But are his opponents likely to go hard and play smart offense when they are in these blow out conditions? It evens out IMO.
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Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
So if you replace Andrew Wiggins with Austin Rivers the Wolves are a better team?
Advanced stats are so retarded, no wonder Houston is such shit.
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NBA lottery pick
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
plus minus is the most inaccurate and irrelevant stat imaginable, any "advanced" form of the former will always be well, inaccurate and irrelevant.
seriously can't think of a more worthless stat.
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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by Blue&Orange
plus minus is the most inaccurate and irrelevant stat imaginable, any "advanced" form of the former will always be well, inaccurate and irrelevant.
seriously can't think of a more worthless stat.
Don't compare players playing different roles to one another.
Ask yourself...why does almost every front office have analytics teams that heavily utilize it in personnel or lineup decisions?
Or, why do plus-minus based models lap the field when predicting wins?
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NBA lottery pick
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by fpliii
Ask yourself...why does almost every front office have analytics teams that heavily utilize it in personnel or lineup decisions?
Or, why do plus-minus based models lap the field when predicting wins?
Those front offices must be really successful.
i bet the sixers are one.
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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by Blue&Orange
Those front offices must be really successful.
i bet the sixers are one.
Actually, it's every front office, except for the Lakers, Knicks, and Nets.
All IN
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets
Philadelphia 76ers
San Antonio Spurs
BELIEVERS
Atlanta Hawks
Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
Detroit Pistons
Golden State Warriors
Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland Trail Blazers
ONE FOOT IN
Charlotte Hornets
Indiana Pacers
Miami Heat
Milwaukee Bucks
Orlando Magic
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
Toronto Raptors
Utah Jazz
SKEPTICS
Chicago Bulls
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Clippers
Minnesota Timberwolves
New Orleans Pelicans
Washington Wizards
NONBELIEVERS
Brooklyn Nets
Los Angeles Lakers
New York Knicks
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NBA lottery pick
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by fpliii
i clicked the link choose NBA searched for RAPM was nowhere to be found, bu thanks for the link.
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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by Blue&Orange
i clicked the link choose NBA searched for RAPM was nowhere to be found, bu thanks for the link.
RAPM is regularized adjusted plus minus. The link just talks about analytics integration in the NBA. If you're looking for more information check out here:
apbr.org/metrics/
In particular, one poster is looking to do put together a history of RAPM (http://www.apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8995).
Anyhow though, just for starters, the Mavs have used APM (predecessor of RAPM using slightly different techniques) for well over a decade. Jeff Sagarin and Wayne Winston were the developers.
Last edited by fpliii; 11-25-2015 at 12:22 AM.
Reason: originally had said "APM (predecessor of APM using slightly...)" which made no sense
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Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by fpliii
RAPM is regularized adjusted plus minus. The link just talks about analytics integration in the NBA. If you're looking for more information check out here:
apbr.org/metrics/
In particular, one poster is looking to do put together a history of RAPM ( http://www.apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8995).
Anyhow though, just for starters, the Mavs have used APM (predecessor of RAPM using slightly different techniques) for well over a decade. Jeff Sagarin and Wayne Winston were the developers.
So xRapm isn't the best for individual impact. Say you want to compare players with similar roles like Durant and LJ. We would have to wait till the pure Rapm comes out
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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by juju151111
So xRapm isn't the best for individual impact. Say you want to compare players with similar roles like Durant and LJ. We would have to wait till the pure Rapm comes out
I guess, but I still wouldn't use it to compare them directly. It's just one extra tool to have (albeit a very good one). They have similar roles (so it has a good deal of use), but they're not identical.
xRAPM/RPM isn't bad though, I don't have any problem with it. It's an incredible predictive metric. If someone wants to use it for comparisons it's not the worst idea. But I just think it's important for someone to understand what exactly it is, and what it isn't.
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Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by fpliii
I guess, but I still wouldn't use it to compare them directly. It's just one extra tool to have (albeit a very good one). They have similar roles (so it has a good deal of use), but they're not identical.
xRAPM/RPM isn't bad though, I don't have any problem with it. It's an incredible predictive metric. If someone wants to use it for comparisons it's not the worst idea. But I just think it's important for someone to understand what exactly it is, and what it isn't.
Of course you have to use the eye test too and context.
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sahelanthropus
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Originally Posted by juju151111
Of course you have to use the eye test too and context.
Agree 100%. Watching games, and looking at both data and scouting reports is the best way to evaluate players and teams.
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Dunking on everybody in the park
Re: ESPN RAPM finally posted
Kobe is ranked at 381 out of 409 players. He overrated himself thinking he's still top 200th player in the league.
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