The BigAss Politics Thread XI: The first debate

[FillJackson]

Go take a walk this weekend. Enjoy the outdoors.

Nothing that happens in the next two days matters.

Monday 9PM EST is the first debate.

[FillJackson]

The Upshot at the NY Times has a good view where you can see multiple aggregators/predictors at once and their view of the state polls.

The prediction sites:

NYT ...........88% Dem.
538...........74% Dem.
DK...........77% Dem.
PW...........76% Dem.
PEC...........94% Dem.
Cook...........Leaning Dem.
Roth...........Leaning Dem.
Sabato...........Likely Dem.

Pretty good 3 weeks for the GOP especially in the Senate.

NYT...73% Dem.
538......62% Dem.
DK.......64% Dem.
PW........72% Dem.
PEC.........82% Dem.
Cook.........Leaning Dem
Roth.........Leaning Dem.
Sabato.....Likely Dem.

[FillJackson]

of the 1024 paths made up of the 10 closest states

Clinton has 709 ways to win
69% of paths

15 ties
1% of paths

Trump has 300 ways to win
29% of paths

[FillJackson]

On to the debate.

[Nick Young]

RIP Crooked Hillary

[Draz]

Drumpf

[Trollsmasher]

thread theme

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TG_ZEovDDKk

[Nick Young]

ISH Trump Fam Official Theme Song

[NumberSix]

Prediction... Regardless of what actually happens at the debate, the media will unanimously say Hillary won, the polls will say Trump won.

[Hotlantadude81]

I have one family member that is a Hillary supporter and when I found out I told them that I never wanted to speak to them again.

[Trollsmasher]

I have one family member that is a Hillary supporter and when I found out I told them that I never wanted to speak to them again.

Good, Clinton voters should be ostracized until they find the error in their surely unintentionally malicious ways

[DonDadda59]

Info on the first full week of early voting in North Carolina:



By this time in 2012, Republicans were ahead 43-38% vs Dems in absentee ballots accepted. Right now, the Dems are up 41-34%, a 12 point swing from this 4 years ago.

Romney won the State by 92,004 votes (2%).

[KyrieTheFuture]

Go take a walk this weekend. Enjoy the outdoors.

Nothing that happens in the next two days matters.

Monday 9PM EST is the first debate.

And you proceed to promptly stay in this thread all ****ing day.

[9erempiree]

Go take a walk this weekend. Enjoy the outdoors.

Nothing that happens in the next two days matters.

Monday 9PM EST is the first debate.

A lot of things going on from today till Monday.

We got Wikileaks to read.

[Draz]

No one cares about Wikileaks. We all know the corruption, we didn't need proof of it. It's politics. Everyone's hands are dirty. We should instead come together as ONE regardless of party or belief identification for a greater good of our country. While we worry about dividing one another, we're giving them what they want all along.