The Odds That Cleveland Would Get The First Pick In 3 Out Of The Past 4 Years

[russwest0]

1 out of 13,466

[Cocaine80s]

rigged

[russwest0]

bump because another thread asked about this

[Kvnzhangyay]

So what would be the chance that it goes to Cleveland two years in a row then the Bucks or something get the pick?

[livinglegend]

As long as it s not 0, it s possible. What s the problem?

[Hamtaro CP3KDKG]

Sauce?

[rhowen4]

LeBron is ta'veren

[Yankstar]

God Gifts Cleveland so much but still all they get is shit.

[Verticality]

What were the chances of them getting 4 in this last 11 years? I imagine that is even more rare considering many of those years the chance was 0 since they weren't in the lottery at all.

[russwest0]

The "problem" for all of you morons, is that each year keeps passing and the law of averages keeps getting defied giving strong signals at foul play as opposed to ACTUAL randomized generating of draft order for picks 1-3.

You have the Timberwolves who have had a 99% chance of moving up in the lottery yet have never done so while the Bulls and Cavaliers get the #1 pick with just a 1% chance of doing so...

We should see the worst team get the pick an average of every 4 years but in the 30 years of the lottery system the worst team has actually gotten it 4 times, which is good for 13% which is barely half of the 25%.

Listen, none of us logical people are expecting the lottery to go in exact order every year we are just expecting over a long period of time for the numbers to make sense in a statistical context. The problem is that they don't, at all.

[Yankstar]

The "problem" for all of you morons, is that each year keeps passing and the law of averages keeps getting defied giving strong signals at foul play as opposed to ACTUAL randomized generating of draft order for picks 1-3.

You have the Timberwolves who have had a 99% chance of moving up in the lottery yet have never done so while the Bulls and Cavaliers get the #1 pick with just a 1% chance of doing so...

We should see the worst team get the pick an average of every 4 years but in the 30 years of the lottery system the worst team has actually gotten it 4 times, which is good for 13% which is barely half of the 25%.

Listen, none of us logical people are expecting the lottery to go in exact order every year we are just expecting over a long period of time for the numbers to make sense in a statistical context. The problem is that they don't, at all.

NBA lottery = Rig Job

Rose to bulls and now this s**t

I am glad rose won't get in the HOF due to this rigging bulls**t

[livinglegend]

The "problem" for all of you morons, is that each year keeps passing and the law of averages keeps getting defied giving strong signals at foul play as opposed to ACTUAL randomized generating of draft order for picks 1-3.

You have the Timberwolves who have had a 99% chance of moving up in the lottery yet have never done so while the Bulls and Cavaliers get the #1 pick with just a 1% chance of doing so...

We should see the worst team get the pick an average of every 4 years but in the 30 years of the lottery system the worst team has actually gotten it 4 times, which is good for 13% which is barely half of the 25%.

Listen, none of us logical people are expecting the lottery to go in exact order every year we are just expecting over a long period of time for the numbers to make sense in a statistical context. The problem is that they don't, at all.

They makes sense in a statistical context as long as the odds are not 0. As soon as there 1 chance that a situation happens, then, it makes sense. Doesnt matter if it s 1 out of 100 or 1 out 1000000.

[RoundMoundOfReb]

Sauce?

You can calculate it yourself. It's not particularly hard.

[livinglegend]

I mean, I'm not going to sit here and tell you why the league benefits from Cleveland winning it. You can make a case for every team.

I'm just saying in our LIFETIME we should only see a team with a 1% chance win the lottery ONCE. And we've now seen two of them win it in just a 5 year span.

Why once exactly?
If it can happen once with a 1% chance then, it can happen second time also with the same 1% chance.

[russwest0]

livingpvssy I have you ignored but chose to read anyways.

So if I flip a coin a thousand times and get tails 999 of those times, it makes sense?