538: Heat are 74% favorites to beat the Lakers

[Springsteen]

#hardestroad!?!?

[Shogon]

26% is a pretty substantial number and not to be sneezed at.

Also, I didn't know what 538 is, so I googled it...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...a-predictions/

It actually says 27%, fwiw. 27% is a rather substantial number. It's not insignificant. I could be wrong, been wrong before, don't see the Lakers sweeping this like some people make it out to be. I'm going to guess Lakers in 6 but it wouldn't shock me if Miami wins. The thing is, this is not a normal year... they're in the bubble. If they were playing in front of crowds, I don't think Miami is even here right now, to be perfectly honest. But they're not in front of crowds, and it makes a difference.

[J Shuttlesworth]

26% is a pretty substantial number and not to be sneezed at.

Also, I didn't know what 538 is, so I googled it...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...a-predictions/

It actually says 27%, fwiw. 27% is a rather substantial number. It's not insignificant. I could be wrong, been wrong before, don't see the Lakers sweeping this like some people make it out to be. I'm going to guess Lakers in 6 but it wouldn't shock me if Miami wins. The thing is, this is not a normal year... they're in the bubble. If they were playing in front of crowds, I don't think Miami is even here right now, to be perfectly honest. But they're not in front of crowds, and it makes a difference.

You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

73% you ****ing moron

[Shogon]

You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

73% you ****ing moron

Right but the point is it's not even close to a guarantee. If you were given a 27% chance of dying on your way to work today, your ass would stay at home. And if not, then you're too stupid to understand 27%.

[Lil-Shrimp]

You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

73% you ****ing moron

[warriorfan]

Vegas with Lakers -350 and Heat +300 sounds more legit.

Heat at +300 isn’t a bad bet at all. Its tough to bet against LA though even with how well the Heat are playing. The Lakers have the clear cut two best players in the series. That is tough to overcome.

[Real Men Wear Green]

I hope they're right but Davis and James are going to be the best players on the floor and I doubt it's close between either of them and Butler or Adebayo. LA has greater talent in those two and won't make the Celtics' mental mistakes with all of the turnovers.

[LAmbruh]

against all odds

[Shogon]

Vegas with Lakers -350 and Heat +300 sounds more legit.

Heat at +300 isn’t a bad bet at all. Its tough to bet against LA though even with how well the Heat are playing. The Lakers have the clear cut two best players in the series. That is tough to overcome.

It is, but the Heat have the third, fourth and fifth best players in the series.

The Lakers SHOULD win in 5 or 6, but it would not surprise me if the Heat win the series.

[warriorfan]

It is, but the Heat have the third, fourth and fifth best players in the series.

The Lakers SHOULD win in 5 or 6, but it would not surprise me if the Heat win the series.

That’s fair.

[HylianNightmare]

Lakers in 5

[r0drig0lac]

You know what's an even more substantial number than 27%?

73% you ****ing moron

[Doranku]

Before the playoffs started on Aug 24, 538's wonderful predictions had the Heat at a 2% chance to make the finals a <1% to win the finals.

They mean close to nothing.

[light]

#hardestroad!?!?

This is powered by their faulty RAPTOR ratings.

RAPTOR doesn't actually watch the games, mind you, because it's math. The only things it can see are publicly available statistics.

[Derka]

Switch to the ELO forecast which is actually based on team ratings and head-to-head matchups. See what happens. You might have led with that if you any idea how their ratings systems work instead of going for the snazzy clickbait title.