it'll be a long time because most players like Durant, Lebron, Curry and Giannis miss the playoffs their first few years because they can't carry teams that were lottery the prior year to the playoffs (can't carry lottery casts to the playoffs). indeed, lebron failed 3 times to drag a lottery cast to a low seed and missed playoffs in 04', 05', and 19'.

so MJ dragging a lottery cast to a low seed is rare and it represents an accelerated learning curve that the Giannis, Lebron and Durant weren't good enough to be on.. 1-9 > missing playoffs (unable to drag lottery cast to low seed)