Blockbuster trades don't always pan out
By Nuno Cardoso / Nov. 5, 2004
TORONTO, Canada -- When the two major off-season trades of Shaquille O'Neal and Tracy McGrady happened, a lot of writers and
fans believed that Houston and Miami had just secured playoff births,
if not a ticket to the quarterfinals in their respective conferences.
But, sometimes the old adage of "the team that gets the best player
wins the trade" doesn't always work. I believe that may be the case in
these two instances.
Much of what failed the Lakers in the last season, their only
weak point in season's prior, was the lack of depth on the bench.
Admittedly the Lakers went very far with the starting lineup they had,
and the two superstars, Kobe Bryant and Shaquille O'Neal, were the
main reason. But when the team's majority of the salary cap is being
paid out to two players, it handcuffs the bench depth. If any
catastrophic injuries occur, or the length of the season and playoffs
begin to wear on the starting lineup, there is a great dropoff in
talent coming in off the bench for the few minutes the starters need
to rest.
In the finals last season, the Lakers came face to face with a Detroit
Pistons team that not only focused on unselfish, team-oriented
basketball, but one that had impressive players coming off the bench.
The Miami Heat struck a deal with the Lakers to get O'Neal in Miami,
but they gave up a whole lot to get him - three starting lineup players, in exchange for one, albeit one of the most
dominant post players in the league.
This move excited the Miami area. Some feel that Miami is now a contender to reach the East
finals. I think that's a stretch.
The Heat are now in the same boat as the Lakers were in years
past. Now with three very good starters in O'Neal, Dwayne Wade,
Eddie Jones, a capable Rasual Butler, and Malik Allen, who usually takes a while to get going, the squad has no bench. Aside from a quick, streaky
shooting and potentially dangerous backup point guard in Damon Jones,
the subs are either unproven and young, like Udonis Haslem
and Michael Doleac, or getting up there in age and declining in
production like Wesley Person.
While Shaq has entered this season in the best shape he's been in years, the man is getting older and it
seems that every injury lingers longer. He could be a big toe injury
away from missing 20 games. And who is there to stake his place? Michael Doleac.
Rockets Sputter
In Houston, where fans are also excited thanks to the addition of Tracy McGrady in a trade that took away Steve Francis and Cuttino Mobley, there's also cause for concern. Here, the problem the
Rockets faced in the previous season was much the same as the Lakers';
the productivity from the bench suffered, and in conjunction with a
new coach in Jeff Van Gundy, who doesn't necessarily want his point
guard hoisting up shots whenever he feels like it, the team was
strained and weakened in the final moments of games, and it ultimately
cost them in the standings.
So how do I draw a similarity between these two trades?
Well, the Orlando Magic were able to snag three starters off of the
Houston roster, two of them repeat all-stars in Steve
Francis and Cuttino Mobley. If you look at this, it was almost a
steal, in return for a star of McGrady's calibre, who is obviously one
of the top threats in the league, but had no intension of playing in
Orlando ever again.
Now the Rockets are facing much the same issues they had last season:
A potent starting lineup, with glaring holes sitting on their bench.
Outside of Yao Ming, Tracy McGrady and Jim Jackson, who I stretch to
include on this list, there are no real threats other teams need to
set a game plan for. Houston other guards are sporadic at best, and won't
improve much until they get Bob Sura back from the injured list.
The outcome of these two trades may very well have the reverse effect
of what was originally intended.
The Orlando Magic seem to be more complete now, with a stronger lineup
and decent depth off the bench. In time they will impress people and
opposing coaches. Watch out for my pick for rookie of the year in
Dwight Howard.
The Lakers are also more of a balanced team. Although they will
definitely miss the inside presence of a Shaquille O'Neal, there are a
few guys on that team -- Kobe Bryant, Lamar Odom and Caron Butler -- who can step up their game and show the Western Conference that
they are as good as anyone.
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